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Stock markets in Asia fell in Friday afternoon, erasing early gains, after the Pentagon said it carried out an airstrike in Baghdad, killing at least seven people, including a top Iranian commander, at the direction of US President Donald Trump, and heightening geopolitical tensions. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index lost 104 points of 0.36 percent lower to 28,493, at around 01:16 PM. India's BSE Sensex declined 133 points or 0.32 percent to 41,494, at around 11:09 AM India time. The Shanghai composite dropped 8 points or 0.27 percent to 3,076, at around 01:20 PM China time. Also, Taiwan's TSEC index shed 22 points or 0.18 percent lower to 12,078, at around 01:16 PM China time.

Stocks markets in Asia surged in Friday morning trade, after Wall Street overnight reached new all-time highs on expectations that the US and China to sign the phase one deal on January 15th and begin with phase two talks. Also, investors welcomed Beijing's decision to ease further monetary policy to support the slowing economy. South Korea's KOSPI added 24 points or 1.12 percent higher to 2,199, at around 10:31 AM Korea time. In addition, Hong Kong Hang Seng's index jumped 279 points or 0.98 percent to 28,822, at around 09:42 Hong Kong time. Meanwhile, the Shanghai composite edged up 0.4 points or almost flat at 3,085, at around 09:56 AM China time. Taiwan's TSEC advanced 65 points or 0.54 percent to 12,165, at around 09:38 AM China time. Markets in Japan are closed for holiday.

Australian shares jumped in Friday morning trade after US equities hit fresh all-time highs on news that the US and China would sign a trade pact soon. Also, investors welcome the People’s Bank of China decision to lower the amount of reserves financial institutions most hold, raising expectations that monetary policy will unleash faster growth. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 soared 88 points or 1.32 percent to 6,779, at around 11:20 AM Australia Eastern time, with all the sectors in positive territory The Broader All Ordinaries index gained 82 points or 1.2 percent higher to 6,892.

Exports from Malaysia dropped 5.5 percent from a year earlier to MYR 80.8 billion in November 2019, compared to market consensus of a 4.4 percent fall and a 6.7 percent drop in October. Sales decreased for crude petroleum (-23.4 percent), refined petroleum products (-19.0 percent), electrical & electronic products (-11.6 percent), liquefied natural gas (-35.9 percent), palm oil & palm oil-based products (-2.6 percent), and natural rubber (-10.6 percent), while increased for timber & timber-based products (2.7 percent). Among major trading partners, exports to Singapore tumbled 12.5 percent, led by electrical & electronic products; while those to China rose 4.1 percent, mainly driven by iron and steel bars, rods, angles, shapes, and sections. Also, sales to the US went up 6.5 percent.

Imports to Malaysia declined by 3.6 percent year-on-year to MYR 74.3 billion in November 2019, compared with market consensus of a 5 percent fall and after a 8.7 percent drop in October. Purchases of capital goods shrank 4.3%, due to declines in both transport equipment, industrial and capital goods except transport equipment. In contrast, imports of consumption goods went up 1.9%, mainly attributed to food & beverages, primary, mainly for household consumption and non-durable. Also, arrivals of intermediate goods grew 1.8%, led by parts & accessories of capital goods except transport equipment and industrial supplies, primary. By country, purchases from Singapore fell 9.1%, mainly due to refined petroleum products (-9.3%). Conversely, imports from China rose 11.5 percent, driven by refined petroleum products and electrical & electronic products (-5.5%). Arrivals from the US also went up 16.1 percent.

Malaysia's trade surplus narrowed to MYR 6.5 billion in November 2019 from MYR 8.5 billion in the same month of the prior year and far below market expectations of MYR 10.8 billion. This was the smallest trade surplus since August 2018, as exports fell more than imports. Exports dropped by 5.5 percent year-on-year to MYR 80.8 billion, worse than market consensus of a 4.4 percent fall, after a 6.7 percent decline in October. Sales fell for electrical & electronic products (-11.6%); palm oil & palm oil-based products (-2.6%); refined petroleum products (-19%). Among major trading partners, sales dropped to Singapore (-12.5%), led by electrical & electronic products. Imports dropped by 3.6 percent year-on-year to MYR 74.3 billion, better than market expectations of a 5 percent drop, following an 8.7 percent decline in October. Imports went down for capital goods (-4.3%). By country, purchases from Singapore fell 9.1 percent, mainly due to refined petroleum.

As 2020 started, the Brent and US Crude are trading around $66 and $61 respectively, 24 and 35 percent above the level reported in the last days of 2018. In 2020, we do not expect any significant changes in prices as deeper output cuts from the OPEC and Middle East tensions will be likely offset by higher oil production in US, China and Brazil and slower global growth, even if an agreement on de-escalation of the trade war between the U.S. and China is reached. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is expected to trade at $55 per barrel in 2020, down from a 2019 average of $57 per barrel while Brent spot prices are seen at $61 per barrel, lower from a 2019 average of $64 per barrel.

Fiji consumer prices declined by 0.9 percent in December 2019, compared to a 0.3 percent drop in the previous month. This was the third straight month decline in consumer prices, as prices fell for: housing & utilities (-1.9% vs 1.5% in November), transport (-0.5% vs after being flat in the prior month), communication (-15%, the same as in November) and alcoholic beverages & tobacco (-4.3% vs -2.6%). Meantime, cost rose softer for food and alcoholic beverages (2.8% vs 2.9%), health (0.1% vs 0.5%), while prices were flat for both furnishing, household equipment & routine maintenance (vs 1.0%) and recreation & culture (vs 0.1%). On the other hand, inflation was steady for education (at 5.2%), miscellaneous goods & services (at 3.7%). Meanwhile, inflation accelerated for both restaurants & hotels (0.9% vs 0.3%) and clothing & footwear (1.9% vs 1.7%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices went down 0.4 percent in December, after increasing 0.2 percent in November.

Brazil’s trade surplus decreased to USD 5.600 billion in December 2019 from USD 6.428 billion in the same month of the previous year but above market expectations of a USD 4.352 billion surplus. Exports fell 6.2 percent year-on-year to USD 18.16 billion while imports decreased at a softer 2.8 percent to USD 12.56 billion. Considering the full year, the country's trade surplus shrank to USD 46.67 billion from USD 58 billion a year ago.